Stone Cold Locks
By Bob Gaughan
2022 Record 40-23-2
2021 record 62-49
2020 record 52-52-4
2019 Record 62-41-2
2018 Record 72-50-3
Total: 288-215-11=57%
Mr. Over/Under: Teaser: Philly Even and KC -2
How did Dallas get such a schedule? Last week Indy and this week Houston. The Cowboys lead the league with a +127 point differential. Houston is last at -99. No wonder it’s the largest spread of the season at 17.5, as of Thursday. After studying the spreads this week, it appears to me that Vegas is spot on, even with 5-7 Detroit favored over 10-2 Minnesota. However, when I’m not comfortable with the spreads, I turn to the teaser bets, which have done well for me this year. The Eagles need to keep winning to maintain the #1 seed, and they will. The Chiefs should not have lost to the Bengals, so I expect them to come back with a vengeance this week. Both are division games, so let’s do a 7-point teaser parley taking Phily at even and KC at -2. You won’t win as much, but it gives you a much better odds.
Man in Stripes: Teaser Jets +16 and Giants +13
We will go back to old reliable. NY…NY, Cue the Frank Sinatra.
Jets +16 in a huge game for the Jets. Mike White at QB and the Jets strong defense vs a Bills team still nursing injuries. Von Miller out for the year, Milano is questionable. This appears to be a one score game with the Jets needing to win to stay alive in the playoff push. I’ll take the Jets getting over two TD’s.
Giants +13 I know the G-men came off a underwhelming tie last week against Washington and the Eagles are the hottest team in the NFL. But these two teams always seem to play close games. Philly with a big win over the Titans maybe in for a small letdown. Brian Daboll gets the Giants ready and they keep it close.
Mono: Over 52 Vikings-Lions
This line confuses the hell out of me but I don’t want to fall for the small dog on the road. The Lions are hot averaging 28 points a game since November first. The Vikings average points per game in the same time frame is 23 and that includes a 3 point showing vs Dallas. Consider these offenses know how to score and the defenses can’t get stops. These two teams played back in September and it landed right on the number. These offenses keep rolling and the Vikings win a thriller 31-27.
Brutal:Army +2.5 over Navy
Army has been the better team the last several years and this year is no different. I think the wrong team is the favorite. Army is better in every area offensively. The defenses are about the same. This is an emotional game where the scoring will be limited. The Over/Under is barely 30. Army has covered five of their last six. I’ll take the points and the better QB in what should be a close game.
Bob: Carolina +4 over Seattle
I bet this on Monday when the spread was 5.5 but I still like it as it has gone down. First the Seahawks come in banged up at running back. Kenneth Walker has a bum ankle as does Deejay Dallas. Carolina comes in playing really well since Steve Wilks took over for Matt Ruhle. The Panthers are 3-4 under Wilks. That includes a lose to Atlanta that they should have won and a close loss in Baltimore against the Ravens. This will be a close game. Both teams like to run it and I like getting over a field goal in a game that I think can go either way.
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