Review by Budd Bailey

Book edited by R.J. Anderson, Craig Goldstein and Bret Sayre

I know. Why would you want to write a book that previews the 2020 baseball season … since there’s a chance that the season will be at best skewed and at worst never played?

Let’s put it this way. You probably wouldn’t be reading a book like this unless you were a big baseball fan. So you’ll still enjoy this.

The ever-changing group from Baseball Prospectus celebrates its 25th anniversary this year. That means it is a good time to look back a little bit.

We’ve come a long way since Bill James started producing Baseball Abstracts in the 1970s out of his house in Lawrence, Kansas. He more or less pointed the way to using data to test theories about sports, and it started a revolution. Since that time, when the information hasn’t been available, we’ve figured out a way to get it.

The folks from Baseball Prospectus have been the leaders in that movement in baseball. They’ve got an avalanche of tools in their kits, which can be a little intimidating. Luckily, there’s an effort to drive the numbers toward conclusions about player development. They aren’t always accurate – we are dealing with humans, after all – but it’s become a heck of an annual resource.

We’re now at the point where analytics is an important part of almost every sports organization. Graduates from Baseball Prospectus are littered throughout organized baseball. One of the most famous now might be Chaim Bloom, the Chief Baseball Officer of the Boston Red Sox. Oddly, the head of the alumni association might be Nate Silver, who became famous through his political analysis. Data is still data, no matter what form it comes in.

There are bunches and bunches of contributors to this book now. You can have the best editors in the world under such circumstances, and the writing is going to come out uneven in such circumstances. The book has gotten away from its old snark since its origin, which is missed a little bit at times but probably helps the product be taken more seriously.  The team essays are the best example of that. A few seemed a little pointless, while others were off target. But the player essays, the meat of the book, are fine as usual. You’ll refer to it during the season every so often.

Most of the complaints center on a couple of points:

* The Kindle version of this book is a mess. Without seeing it, I would guess that a publication with so many charts and graphics wouldn’t translate well to a Kindle. Easy solution – buy the actual book.

* There are a few comments that could be considered left of center politically along the way – emphasis on “a few” – mostly connected to domestic abuse charges of players. The material comprises a tiny percentage of the words in a 588-page book … but don’t say you haven’t been warned.

There’s not much new in this year’s edition. One addition was to highlight the player capsules of the top 100 prospects in baseball within the team sections. I usually don’t spend much time reading the capsules of players who haven’t appeared in the majors yet, but those now carry a “must read” signal to casual readers like me. It’s a good move.

After finishing “Baseball Prospectus 2020” you’ll feel ready for the upcoming season – if there is a season. Can’t ask for more than that. It’s another great job.

(Follow Budd on Twitter @WDX2BB)

Budd Bailey

Budd Bailey has been involved in almost every aspect of the local sports scene for the last 40 years. He worked for WEBR Radio, the Buffalo Sabres' public relations department and The Buffalo News during that time. In that time he covered virtually every aspect of the area's sports world, from high schools to the Bills and Sabres and everything in between. Along the way, Budd served as a play-by-play announcer for the Bisons, an analyst for the Stallions, and a talk-show host. He won the National Lacrosse League's Tom Borrelli Award as the media personality of the year in 2011, and was a finalist for that same award in 2017. Budd's seventh and eighth books, one on the Transcontinental Railroad and the other about Ichiro Suzuki, are scheduled to be released in the fall.

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