by Greg Gabriel, Buffalo Sports Page NFL Expert

In continuing my series on the quarterback prospects in the 2018 NFL Draft, I will break down Josh Allen from Wyoming and Luke Falk from Washington State.  Both are at the Senior Bowl this week.

Josh Allen – QB – Wyoming


Size:   Height: 6′ 4″  Weight: 247 lbs  Speed: 4.37 (estimated)

Strong Points –
Size, arm strength, overall athleticism and speed. Can make plays with his feet. Flashes top skills. Streak thrower who can make all the required throws when he is on his game.

Weak Points –
Very overrated by media. Plays poorly when up against better competition (Nebraska – ’16, Iowa – ’17). Doesn’t handle or react to pressure well. Poor accuracy, has completed only 56% of his throws over the last two seasons in a weak defensive league. Ball placement is very average. Lacks instincts. Not a quick processor and can be slow to go through a progression. Production fell off in 2017 when he only threw 13 TD passes. Missed last two games of the year with a shoulder injury.

Summation –
Junior College transfer. Played one year at the JC level before transferring to Wyoming following the 2015 season. Has been a starter at Wyoming the last two years. Many Draft analysts had him as the top QB in the 2018 class going into the 2017 college season, which was way off. Has ideal size, arm strength and athleticism but it ends there. Will flash the ability to make the big throw but can’t do it with any consistency. Fact remains, there has never been a QB in recent memory with such a low completion percentage who has ever had success in the NFL. Will probably get drafted high because of his physical traits but the people who draft him are risking their careers. Is similar to other high hype QB’s during the Draft season that didn’t pan out. Some of those include Jake Locker, Blaine Gabbert and Kyle Boller.

Luke Falk – QB – Washington State

Size – Height: 6′ 3″  Weight: 211 lbs  Speed: 4.85 (estimated)

Strong Points –
Has been a starter since late in his freshman year and has thrown for over 14,400 yards and 119 TD’s to only 39 interceptions. Good size and has a frame to carry 230+. Good mechanics, has a quick release and accurate. Good enough arm strength. Good accuracy and ball placement. Has shown he can read defenses and make good decisions. Good enough athlete.

Weak Points –
Narrow frame, needs to add some strength and bulk. Had three games in 2017 where he struggled. In Cal, Washington and Utah he threw 10 of his 13 interceptions. Plays best with a clean pocket. Not consistent with climbing the pocket and stepping into his throw. When his feet are off, his accuracy is off. While he can move around in the pocket, he is not a real threat to extend plays or run. Not play from under center.

Summation –
Fifth year senior and a very productive three and a half year starter. Smart kid with good leadership skills. There are games when he looks very good and could potentially be a top draft pick then there are others where he looks more like a late pick. Has the smarts, talent and passing skills to become an eventual starter in the NFL. Needs to work on being more patient in the pocket, step up and make the play. Not great versus pressure and needs to improve. Because of the offense he plays in he will need some developmental time but he has some nice traits. Mid round pick with upside.

Click here to read Greg’s scouting reports on QB’s Baker Mayfield & Mason Rudolph.

Greg Gabriel

Gabriel has spent most of his adult life as an evaluator for various NFL clubs. He started his career in 1991 working for the Buffalo Bills as a part time scout under dormer Bills Director of Player Personnel Norm Pollom. He left the Bills in June 1984 to become the Great Lakes area scout for National Football Scouting. Following the 1984 season, Gabriel joined the New York Giants as their Midwest area scout and was promoted to Director of Player Development in 1996. The Giants went to three Super Bowls and won two during Gabriel’s time with the club.

Following the Giants appearance versus the Baltimore Ravens in Super Bowl XXXV, Greg became Director of College Scouting for the Chicago Bears under General Manager Jerry Angelo. He held that position until June of 2010. During his time with Chicago, the Bears won three Division titles and the 2006 NFC Championship. In his nine Drafts with the Bears, the team drafted 12 future Pro Bowl performers such perennial Pro Bowler Matt Forte, Tommie Harris, Devin Hester, Lance Briggs and Charles Tillman.

In the 2012 – 2013 season, Gabriel was a consultant for the Philadelphia Eagles Scouting Department and has since done some small scouting roles for various NFL clubs.

Since leaving the NFL Gabriel has been a contributor for the National Football Post, the Bleacher Report and more recently Pro Football Weekly. He also is both a writer and contributor for WSCR (670the Score) in Chicago. The last three years he has authored the Pro Football Weekly Draft Guide.
Gabriel grew up in Amherst and is a 1974 graduate of Canisius College where he was a member of the football team. He and his wife Robin currently resides in the Chicago area.

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