STONE COLD LOCKS WEEK 3

Stone Cold Locks

2025 6-4

2024 64-44-1

2023 87-71-3

2022 68-41-2

2021 62-49

2020 52-52-4

2019 62-41-2

2018 72-50-3

total 469-351-15 57%

Mr. Over/Under: 7-point teaser Atlanta +1.5, Seattle -.5

I hope you got to see the 4^th quarter and overtime, of the Giants/Cowboys game last week? 41-points were scored in the 4^th quarter, while only 3-points were scored in overtime. Those 3-points gave Dallas the win, but they didn’t cover. In fact, only 9 favorites did cover last week, the same as the week #1.

Last week we went with a teaser parley and won. I’m doing that again this week, as I’m seeing too many close games, where points matter. I like the way Seattle is improving. They’re home against a New Orleans team that couldn’t win their first two home games. Seattle’s Offensive Coordinator is Klint Kubiak, who was the OC for New Orleans last year. I’m pairing the Seahawks with a good Atlanta team that is playing a not-so-good Carolina team. Atlanta can run the ball and will do so against the Panthers. I don’t like the spread, as this is Carolina’s home opener, but I do like Atlanta to win. So let’s go with a 7-point teaser parley where both teams will just need to win.

Mono: Nebraska +2.5 over Michigan

I didn’t want to believe that K State was bad, but they are in fact THAT bad. Something happened to Avery Johnson over the summer and this team is officially on my fade and no bet list for the remainder of the year. 

We’re onto week 3 and there’s a Big 10 home dog I can’t ignore. We’ve got Michigan laying 2.5 @ Nebraska this weekend in the Big 10 opener for both teams. Nebraska is off to a 3-0 start and faces their first real test of the season on Saturday. Their yards per game both offensively and defensively are deceiving, as they’ve beaten up on Akron and Houston Baptist the past 2 weeks, outscoring them 127-7. Regardless, they returned QB Dylan Raiola this season and with some experience up front, they have a chance to make a statement. Michigan is 2-1 themselves, with wins over lesser opponents and a loss at Oklahoma a couple weeks ago. This Wolverine team will be without head coach Sherrone Moore in this spot as this is game 2 of his 3 game suspension. True Freshman Bryce Underwood looked lost in his first road game at Oklahoma and this environment in Nebraska will be similar. 90,000 strong and Matt Rhule looking to put this program back on the map. I’ll be surprised if the hometown kid and 3x Undisputed Champion Bud Crawford isn’t in attendance after taking Canelo to school last weekend, which may add a little more juice to the players. Give me the huskers + the points and a little more than a sprinkle on the ML. Nebraska wins outright 23-17.

I didn’t want to believe that K State was bad, but they are in fact THAT bad. Something happened to Avery Johnson over the summer and this team is officially on my fade and no bet list for the remainder of the year. 

We’re onto week 3 and there’s a Big 10 home dog I can’t ignore. We’ve got Michigan laying 2.5 @ Nebraska this weekend in the Big 10 opener for both teams. Nebraska is off to a 3-0 start and faces their first real test of the season on Saturday. Their yards per game both offensively and defensively are deceiving, as they’ve beaten up on Akron and Houston Baptist the past 2 weeks, outscoring them 127-7. Regardless, they returned QB Dylan Raiola this season and with some experience up front, they have a chance to make a statement. Michigan is 2-1 themselves, with wins over lesser opponents and a loss at Oklahoma a couple weeks ago. This Wolverine team will be without head coach Sherrone Moore in this spot as this is game 2 of his 3 game suspension. True Freshman Bryce Underwood looked lost in his first road game at Oklahoma and this environment in Nebraska will be similar. 90,000 strong and Matt Rhule looking to put this program back on the map. I’ll be surprised if the hometown kid and 3x Undisputed Champion Bud Crawford isn’t in attendance after taking Canelo to school last weekend, which may add a little more juice to the players. Give me the huskers + the points and a little more than a sprinkle on the ML. Nebraska wins outright 23-17.

Man  In Stripes: Denver+9/ KC even (6 pt teaser)

If it ain't broke.... 

Denver at Chargers should be a battle of 2-0 teams, if not for a phantom leverage penalty on a missed Colts FG.. Broncos defense playing well, should be able to limit the Chargers offensive success... Khalil Mack , looks to be out for awhile on defensive,  several others out as well.. This smells like a 20-17 game,, we will tease Denver over the key numbers of 6, and 7.. 

KC at Giants- THIS IS A BATTLE of 0-2 teams.. But, let's face it does anyone in the free world think the Chiefs are going 0-3,...I DIDNT THINK SO!! This isn't the Chiefs we know.. AND HATE, but still, Mahomes, Kelce- Swift, and Andy Reid will find a way to avoid an 0-3 start, which has only produced 1 playoff team in the last 25 years.. Chiefs are desperate, yes, Giants should have beaten the Cowboys, but in the end Russell Wilson, was Russell Wilson circa the last couple of years.. All we need is the Chiefs to win outright on Sunday night.. 

Mr. Brutal: Tulane +20, Memphis +14, 6-point Teaser

  American Conference Double Up

 Tulane (+20) @ #13 OLE MISS

    In the Jim Crow College Universe, the American Conference may be this year's oh so privileged underling to The Big Four that will get a bid in the new, exciting College Football  Playoff!  This lame dynamic has gone on for quite awhile, mainly to avoid an Act of Congress to make the NCAA more inclusive rather just the appearance of being more inclusive.  However, it now seems unnecessary in the present oligarch dominated universe and political climate of both college football and the United States itself to even bother with this Potemkin Village charade.  However, we will just have to take the crumbs the big schools still offer and not risk asking for a second helping of gruel.   

   The reason the American Conference is the focus of attention of the powers that be is because Boise State came stumbling out of the block and lost to the American Conference's South Florida, reducing the Mountain West Conference's cache with the Supreme Committee that will start seeding the teams for this yearly farce of power rankings and seeding (glad to see Notre Dame at 0 and 2 still ranked in the top 25!).  South Florida failed last week at Miami, but a couple of new American Conference teams are in the conversation and one of those is undefeated Tulane.  Ex BYU QB Jake Retzlaff has taken over the Green Wave offence, and I am guessing his generalship will mean long, controlled drives with few turnovers in this road game; he is also the Green Waves' leading rusher, so the 14 point spread appears a little high.  I have some concerns about the Tulane defense, but the Ole Miss offense has injury and quarterback issues.  Last week Mississippi escaped with a 6 point win over Arkansas that they could have lost.  Rebel HC Lane Kiffin is not satisfied with his starter at signal caller Austin Simmons, but the return last week of the original starter led to him reaggravating his leg injury that will keep him out.  Kiffin has now signed a 1-AA QB and has threatened to use him in this game.  Even if this is just motivation to push his starter Simmons, I do not like the looks of this.  

  As well, Tulane is in line to hit the Egghead Trifecta this week.  They have already beat Northwestern and Duke, both acclaimed academic institutions.  This week they can complete the triangle by beating scholastic superpower Ole Miss.

  Green Wave (+20)

 Arkansas @ MEMPHIS (+14) 

  I also like another American Conference team this week going up against an SEC opponent, and that would be MEMPHIS getting 8 points at home against Arkansas.  The Razorbacks are coming in off their disheartening six point loss in Oxford to Mississippi that we mentioned earlier.  This is a great example of NWL ( Next Week Letdown)  after a tough loss.  This is a bigger game for Memphis who in the last 20 years has been tough at home on any big conference teams they can actually lure into Liberty Stadium. This is a regional recruiting battle between schools in neighboring states.  I like MEMPHIS at home, getting points and will play it on the Moneyline as well.  MEMPHIS is 3 and 0, coming into this match with two dominant wins at GEORGIA STATE and TROY.  I only wish this game was at night to add to the home advantage.  We should probably tease both of these games together. 

This teaser thing has gone well for the panel well this year. First there is no way KC goes 0-3.  KC has played a tough schedule with Philly and the Chargers.  This is a step down in class with the Giants. Can't see Russell Wilson throwing for 400 yards vs KC.

Seattle impressed me last week with a win in Pittsburgh.  They dominated the Steelers. They lost a close one in Week one to San Francisco. Now they get the worst team in football in New Orleans.  We tease both games past all the major numbers and just need a win.