Stone Cold Locks By Bob Gaughan
Updated: Sep 26
2023 Record 7-4-1
2022 Record 68-41-2
2021 record 62-49
2020 record 52-52-4
2019 Record 62-41-2
2018 Record 72-50-3
Mr. Over/Under: Miami -6.5 over Denver
Beware, there’s a storm moving up the east coast this weekend and it could affect the games in Washington, Baltimore and New Jersey. Some interesting early stats. The Chargers have scored 58 and lost both games. Cincy has been favored twice and lost both. Only Dallas, New Orleans, Phily and San Francisco have been favored and won both games. As of this writing, it appears Dallas may have taken a big hit with the loss of cornerback Diggs to an torn ACL. Miami has averaged 30-pts a game, facing the high scoring Chargers and strong defense of New England. They’re back home in the heat against a disappointing Broncos team. If Washington can score 35-points against Denver, why can’t the Dolphins? I just can’t see Denver being able to keep up with Tua’s Team. As long as the line stays less than 7, I like Miami.
Man in Stripes: Ole Miss +7.5 over Alabama
Plain and simple this is not your father’s Alabama team. QB play has not been good at all. Nick Saban is going back to Jean Milroe vs the Rebels. Alabama looked awful at South Florida maybe because they were still in shock from losing to Texas at home. The real problem is the Alabama offensive line that is way down. Here comes the high flying Rebels into Tuscaloosa. Rebels scoring 52 points per game so far. There’s nothing that the Lane train would like to do more than kick Bama when they are down. Last year a much better Alabama team only won by 6. I get more than a TD, I’m in. Hotty Totty!!!Maybe sprinkle a little on the money line too.
Mano: Vikings -1 over Chargers
It’s hard to believe that the loser of this game will be 0-3. Not impossible to get to the playoff at 0-3but only the 2018 Texans have pulled it off since 2002. The Chargers come off a tough loss to the Titans in overtime. Another head scratching result from that side. With all that talent you wonder why they keep falling short. In my opinion Brandon Staley needs to go and they need to get more creative on offense with Herbert. They were missing Ekeler last week and he is trending down again this week.
The Vikings can score for sure. They’ve yet to play complimentary football. Against the Bucs they couldn’t score. Against the Eagles the Vikes couldn’t hang onto the ball. They coughed up the ball three times in key spots. In a desperate spot for both teams I’m backing Kirk Cousins and the Vikings. I believe Cousins will have a similar line to last week with 360 yards and 4 TD’s and Herbert will not be able to keep up. Chargers have the talent and weapons but something is lacking and it may get worse before it gets better. Vikings win and cover 38-24.
Brutal: Rutgers +25 over Michigan
Last week we rode the big dog Colorado State Rams (+23.5) over Coach Prime and his COLORADO TRANSPORT PORTAL BUFFALOS. The Rams led for the entire game and gave up a final minute 98 yard drive TD and two point conversion to even the game and subsequently CSU fell in Double Overtime by a score of 43-35. We had a big play on this game and won easily, but the near Moneyline win would have paid for our next vacation. Too bad. We see a similar situation this week in Ann Arbor. Annoying Head Coach Jim Harbaugh is back from his season starting suspension for somehow managing to violate basically almost non-existent NCAA rules regarding recruiting violations. In the Wild, Wild West theatre of College Football we find ourselves immersed within in 2023, it is somehow both incredulous and embarrassing how one could get even get caught today. It certainly shows a preponderance of willful arrogance and chronic casual stupidity on the behalf of Mr. Harbaugh. Regardless, the WOLVERINE faithful think a National Championship is in the cards.
Not so fast. Both teams are 3-0, but one could argue that the Scarlet Knights of New Jersey have beaten the tougher opposition and therefore looked better so far this year. True, the Rutgers offence has been conservative and mediocre (nothing new for a Greg Schiano coached side). However the defense has been stellar in wins over Big Ten opponents Northwestern, Temple and ACC stalwart Virginia Tech. The offence has at least been able to run the ball in the second half and eat up clock to compliment their defensive and special teams efforts.
Michigan has beaten mediocre East Carolina, UNLV and Bowling Green all at home, but failed to truly blow any of them out. This is Rutgers’ first road game of the year and they are charged up for this contest in the Big House in front of 100,000 plus fans. We expect them to play hard and keep this closer than the spread. Can they win the game outright like Colorado State should have last week? Possibly, we’ll be putting a smaller wager on the Rutgers’ Moneyline of ….. However, we feel comfortable putting a larger allotment of funds on the spread that gives us four scores margin before the game begins. In the words of actor Gerrit Graham in the cult movie Used Cars, this 25 point spread, like your rival’s automobile prices, …. is too fucking high!
Go Rutgers and win one for the ghost of James Gandolfini!
Philly: Air Force -5.5 over San Jose State
Let’s get a lock on Friday to bankroll a jam-packed weekend! Air Force is off to a 3-0 start and they travel to play 1-2 San Jose Spartans. While San Jose St has played tough competition in USC and Oregon State, their defense has not been great. I expect the Falcons rushing attack to carve them up and dominate the time of possession. Air Force has had a stout defense with the major benefit of staying fresh while their offense controls the clock. Roll with the Falcons here!
Bob: SMU +6.5 over TCU
We always like to take the points in a rivalry game and no difference in this one. This is the 102ndmeeting between these two schools as the “battle for the iron skillet.” I’m high on SMU this year as I have them as one of my teams that I bet over their team total. SMU comes in 2-1 and their only loss was to a very good Oklahoma team. SMU actually out gained Oklahoma in that game. TCU’s only loss was to Colorado. As much as we like the Coach Prime story I feel that the Buffaloes are now an over rated team. Preston Stone is the new QB at SMU taking over for Tanner Mordecai (now at Wisconsin). Stone hasn’t missed a step accounting for 10 touchdowns while throwing 2 interceptions. I believe there’s a chance SMU can win this outright but will definitely take the points.