Stone Cold Locks
By Bob Gaughan
2024 record 15-6
2023 Record 82-71-3
2022 Record 68-41-2
2021 record 62-49
2020 record 52-52-4
2019 Record 62-41-2
2018 Record 72-50-3
Total: 411-309-14=56%
MR. OVER/UNDER: Washington -3 over Cleveland
Four NFL teams have a bye this week, while 2 teams say "Bye Bye" to the USA and head to Europe. Minnesota is the surprise team this year, and I expect Rogers to have problems against that Minnesota defense. I was going to pick this game, but after reviewing my charts, another game stood out. Cleveland hasn't scored more than 18-points in any game this season. Washington is averaging 30-points a game, starting with 20-points in week 1 and scoring 42-points last week in Arizona. Even though Cleveland has a good defense, I see the Commanders on a scoring roll. Take Washington at home -3.
Man in Stripes: Jets +8.5/ Saints +11.5( 6 pt teaser)
Some weeks the football card is tough, last week , we snuck Rutgers through on what I thought was a difficult week.. This week, I think we have more options. First month of NFL been crazy, lots of upsets, bizarre results, the dogs have been barking!!!Desperate teams over better teams.. We are going with 2 coming off bad and tough losses last week, teasing them away from home to more than a TD.. Buckle up!!
First off the Jets, YES those Jets, who scored 9 points in the rain last week vs the undefeated Vikings. Jets are desperate, need to stay in touch with Bills, whom they play next week, Vikings have been great, I just don't see them at 5-0, sorry...Jets rally Sunday morning in a game played overseas, to at least try to keep Rob Salah's job, Aaron Rodgers finds a way late, but I'll take the points.. It's a 1 score game either way. Then we have to wait until Monday night, let's go against the OTHER undefeated team, the Chiefs, yes, Mahomes is the current GOAT, but last 2 weeks injuries are piling up. The Saints, have been a surprise, lost a tough one at the gun in Atlanta last week. They’ve been scoring a ton, they will put up at least 28 , another one score game for sure we will tease it through 7 and 10.. Some of Derek Carrs best games have happened at Arrowhead. I might sprinkle a little ML parlay on these 2.
Some that almost made the cut:
UGA-13.5 1H
UNLV-6.5
UCF -2.5
Army/ Air Force Under 36.5
Good luck!!!
Mono: Missouri +2.5 over Texas A&M
Texas A&M is coming off a big win against Arkansas in a game that saw them force 3 turnovers and continue their dominance over the razorbacks. Mike Elko has been strapped since week 2 with his back up QB as Conner Weigman has been out about a month with an injury to his throwing shoulder. Behind a strong running game, they have won a few games they should have. Weigman may return in this one, but I don’t think it will matter. Mizzou comes into this one off a bye after surviving a scare against Vanderbilt, yes, you read that right. They needed double OT to avoid the upset but all wins count the same, right? Mizzou has been unimpressive so far this season considering the talent they have returned from an 11-2 season in 2023. QB Brady Cook is loaded at receiver and they have yet to explode offensively as expected. They themselves have leaned on a strong running game and defense and taken care of business in the early half of their schedule. They play their first road game here at College Station and will have to overcome a raucous crowd and environment. I believe the scare against Vanderbilt a couple of weeks ago and the rest will lead to a focused group looking to take care of business here. A strong defense and run game is a recipe for success on the road and mix in a better QB and weapons, I think Mizzou breaks out here. Take Missouri and the points, but expect them to win this game outright. Tigers win and cover, 31-20
Brutal: Texas Tech Red Raiders @ ARIZONA (-5)
A few weeks ago we bet against Tech when they went to the Palouse and played Washington State, ...... and we were rewarded, .... they were dominated! This week we are going to bet against them once again on the road when they come up against quality opposition. This is the first Arizona BIG XII home opener ever! The stadium will be full, (55,000+), a dark sky, desert night game! The talented young Wildcat team will have matured another week. I think they are far more balanced then the Red Raiders and a spread under a touchdown is a statistical gift. Arizona is 3-1, and in their loss to a tough K-State team in Manhattan, they made a few mental mistakes in the second half, but they were not outworked or dominated at the line of scrimmage. In Texas Tech we have a 4-1 team who is coming off a nail-biting, wild, exhausting 44-41 win over Cincinnati; there is bound to be an emotional letdown this week. The Red Raiders lost badly to Washington State on the road, ...... which we won with! This is Texas Tech on the road again (their four wins, Abilene Christian, only 52-51 in overtime! ...... Arizona State and Cincy, were all at home). They hit Interstate 40 to Tucson where they get beaten by a better overall team. History repeats itself. Arizona all night!
With any luck, the Wildcats may even get ranked in the next few weeks in the gerrymandered, corrupt and rigged college football ranking system.
Bob: Washington -2.5 over Michigan
There are 3 things going for you in this game. First you have an unranked team that is favorite over a ranked team. When Vegas does this the favorite hits about 65% of the time. Second huge revenge game with a re-match of last year’s title game. The crowd at Husky stadium should be electric. Third is Washington is coming off a misleading final. In defeat last week, Washington outgained Rutgers 521-299. Washington defense has held opponents over 150 yards below their average. Will Rogers is a better QB than Michigan’s QB. Michigan offense is one-dimensional that almost blew a big lead last week at home to average at best Minnesota team. All adds up to Washington win at home where you have to lay less than a field goal.
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