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TONY’S TAKE – A PREVIEW OF BILLS-DOLPHINS

  • Writer: Tony Fiorello
    Tony Fiorello
  • 7 minutes ago
  • 21 min read

by Tony Fiorello

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 14: Head coach Sean McDermott of the Buffalo Bills stands on the sideline during the NFL 2025 game between Buffalo Bills and New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on September 14, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 14: Head coach Sean McDermott of the Buffalo Bills stands on the sideline during the NFL 2025 game between Buffalo Bills and New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on September 14, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

Welcome to Week Three of the 2025 NFL season. Here at Buffalo Sports Page we will attempt to inform and educate our readers about the Buffalo Bills’ upcoming opponent and what each team might do to emerge victorious.


The Bills’ third game of 2025 will take place at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York as they face the Miami Dolphins. Here’s what you should know:

FRANKFURT AM MAIN, GERMANY - NOVEMBER 05: Tua Tagovailoa #1 of the Miami Dolphins passes to Tyreek Hill #10 of the Miami Dolphins in the first quarter during the NFL match between Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs at Deutsche Bank Park on November 05, 2023 in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. (Photo by Alex Grimm/Getty Images)
FRANKFURT AM MAIN, GERMANY - NOVEMBER 05: Tua Tagovailoa #1 of the Miami Dolphins passes to Tyreek Hill #10 of the Miami Dolphins in the first quarter during the NFL match between Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs at Deutsche Bank Park on November 05, 2023 in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. (Photo by Alex Grimm/Getty Images)

MIAMI’S OFFENSE TRYING TO RETURN TO A HIGH LEVEL

After winning 10 games in 2020 for just the third time since 2008, owner Stephen Ross gave general manager Chris Grier – the brother of ex-Buffalo Sabres winger Mike Grier – the authority to build the team as he and former head coach Brian Flores saw fit. However, after a nine-win campaign in 2021 Grier decided to make a coaching change and replaced Flores with then-San Francisco 49ers offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel.


McDaniel – a longtime protégé of Mike and Kyle Shanahan – has brought their version of the West Coast offense to South Beach. The system is very creative in its ability to attack matchups and utilizes a lot of play-action passes, bootlegs and rollouts designed around the threat of outside-zone runs.


The Dolphins’ running philosophy relies on a mobile offensive line that pushes defenders from sideline to sideline on “stretch” runs that encourages its tailbacks to find holes on the opposite side of the play’s direction and cut back against the grain. Executing these blocks are Patrick Paul, Jonah Savaiinaea, Aaron Brewer, James Daniels and Austin Jackson (Daniels and Jackson are both injured – replaced by Kion Smith and Larry Borom) and versatile fullback Alec Ingold is one of the league’s best.


While the outside/wide zone is the team’s foundational run, McDaniel will also use power plays, traps, sweeps and counters as a changeup tactic and will throw in some misdirection concepts like end-arounds and reverses as well. These are usually carried out by a speedy threat in De’Von Achane (who is excellent on angle routes). This system has made many a star of running backs for decades and most of Miami’s runs are executed out of “21” personnel (two backs, one tight end).


The reason why the Shanahan coaching tree likes to have two running backs on the field most of the time is to give credibility to the belief that they will call a running play at any time while also taking advantage of smaller defenders who are used to being on the field to stop the pass and forcing the opposition to use more basic coverages. According to former MMQB/SI writer Andy Benoit, “Shanahan plays with two backs more than any schemer, by a wide margin…. with two backs in, the Niners compel defenses to prepare for more run possibilities, which limits their options in coverages. Shanahan exploits the suddenly predictable coverages through route combinations or mismatch-making formation wrinkles.”


Wideouts Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are similar receivers – each are polished route runners, have good hands and speed to burn, and are adept at picking up yards after the catch, especially on in-breaking routes. They can also return punts in a pinch and are liberally used by McDaniel in jet and orbit motion to influence defenders’ responsibilities and create leverage and space. Hill and Waddle are also dangerous ballcarriers and will sometimes line up at running back. Veteran tight end Darren Waller has come out of a one-year retirement to give the Dolphins a third viable receiving target.


Hill is perhaps the league’s fastest player and can line up anywhere – out wide, in the backfield and in the slot, where he is especially dangerous on post routes out of trips formations. The “Cheetah” was on pace to break the NFL’s single-season record for yardage two years ago before an injury derailed those aspirations – Hill and Waddle’s speed dissuades the opposition from using single-high coverages against them.


Like his colleagues, McDaniel will have his wide receivers, running backs and tight ends line up in unusual places in the formation to determine if defenses are playing man or zone coverage and will have his wide receivers stay inside the numbers to give them extra room to run routes and to serve as additional blockers. His scheme makes excellent use of shifts and motions, especially to create false reads and favorable angles in the running game, and the receivers’ pass patterns work well off one another with many intersecting routes at all three levels.


At the helm of this attack is signal caller Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa, a rhythmic, precision passer, has most of his passing concepts come in the form of short and intermediate plays to play to his strengths as an intelligent passer who can get the ball out on time and to hide his limitations – particularly an arm that isn’t one of the league’s strongest, and he also isn’t comfortable going to his second and third reads in pass progressions. Nevertheless he finished first in the NFL in passing yards in 2023, but Tagovailoa has a long history of concussions and while he’s healthy now his career and well-being are in question.


Early in 2023 the Dolphins had a 70-point, 700-yard performance against the Denver Broncos (becoming the first team ever to put up both numbers in one game, the first to score 70 in a game since 1966 and just the fourth team ever to score 70 in a game) and were second in points, first in passing and total yards and sixth in rushing. But last year (mainly due to the absence of their quarterback for an extended stretch) Miami was in 22nd scoring, 18th in total yards, 15th in passing and 21st in rushing.


Miami has shown to have one crucial weakness – while they are excellent out of their 3x1 (three wideouts on one side, one on the other) formations, they can be predictable in 2x2s (two on each side). They love to use play-action in this set and zone runs compared to gap runs in 3x1s – for more info, read this: What a difference one change in alignment makes for the Dolphins - Sports Info Solutions.

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA - SEPTEMBER 14: Minkah Fitzpatrick #29 of the Miami Dolphins enters the field prior to NFL 2025 game between New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on September 14, 2025 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images)
MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA - SEPTEMBER 14: Minkah Fitzpatrick #29 of the Miami Dolphins enters the field prior to NFL 2025 game between New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on September 14, 2025 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images)

DOLPHINS’ DEFENSE NOT UP TO PAR SO FAR

Heading into 2024, McDaniel had a new play-caller on this side of the ball for the third consecutive year and will go into ’25 with the same face for once. After inheriting Josh Boyer from Flores’ old staff in 2022 and trying out one of the best defensive minds in the NFL in Vic Fangio a year later, McDaniel did an about-face and switched to former Baltimore Ravens defensive line coach (and ex-Houston Texans coordinator) Anthony Weaver.


Weaver, naturally, brings a Ravens-flavor to South Beach. Baltimore traditionally has one of the most effective blitzing defenses in the NFL and mostly do so on overload and fire zone rushes out of single-high coverage looks – which aren’t totally foreign to the Dolphins given that Boyer employed similar coverage concepts on the back end.


Miami has done nearly a complete facelift in their secondary. Gone from last year are Jordan Poyer, Jevon Holland, Marcus Maye, Jalen Ramsey and Kendall Fuller and the leader of the new group is versatile safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, who is in his second stint as a Dolphin after being reacquired from Pittsburgh. Capable of playing outside cornerback, nickel, centerfield as a single-high safety or in the box to help stop the run, Fitzpatrick is the perfect man to execute Weaver’s preferred Cover One and Three pass defenses.


Fitzpatrick is joined by Rasul Douglas, an ex-Bill who has great size and length, is versatile and a gambler – he can take chances because he understands route combinations very well. Kayden Kohou normally mans the slot but is injured, and Ashtyn Davis, Jack Jones and Storm Duck round out this crew.


At linebacker the Dolphins employ another former Bill in Tyrel Dodson, Jaelen Phillips and Jordyn Brooks. Zach Sieler (who had a breakout campaign in ’24), Bradley Chubb, Demeioun “Chop” Robinson, Matthew Judon, Benito Jones and rookie Kenneth Grant are Miami’s main defensive linemen.


In ‘23 Miami was 10th in total yards given up, 15th versus the pass, eighth in takeaways, seventh against the run and third in sacks. But they were 22nd in points allowed, and the Dolphins ended ‘23 with a 1-5 record against playoff teams with a -91 point differential against such opponents – only the New York Giants and Washington Commanders were worse. Last year they were 10th in points allowed, fourth in total yards surrendered, ninth versus the pass and against the run but just 27th in sacks and turnovers.

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 14: Joey Bosa #97 of the Buffalo Bills attempts to sack Justin Fields #7 of the New York Jets during the fourth quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 14, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jordan Bank/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 14: Joey Bosa #97 of the Buffalo Bills attempts to sack Justin Fields #7 of the New York Jets during the fourth quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 14, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jordan Bank/Getty Images)

BUFFALO’S DEFENSE USUALLY GOOD, BUT UNDERGOING A MAKEOVER IN 2024 AND ‘25

For most of head coach Sean McDermott’s time in Buffalo, the Bills’ defense has been one of the league’s best. Points allowed (fourth in the NFL in that category in 2023), total yards per game allowed (ninth), passing yards given up (seventh), rushing yards surrendered (15th), takeaways (third), interceptions (tied for fourth) and sacks (fourth, tied for second-most in their history with the 2014 team) have generally been the categories that the Bills have excelled at over the years, with 2023’s sack total being the best of the McDermott era.


2024, however, was a year of transition for the Bills on defense. Due to age and salary cap complications, out the door were longtime veterans such as Jordan Poyer and Tyrel Dodson (Miami Dolphins), Tre’Davious White (Baltimore Ravens), Leonard Floyd (San Francisco 49ers, who had 10.5 sacks a year ago – the most of any Bill since Lorenzo Alexander in 2016), Linval Joseph (Dallas Cowboys), Tim Settle (Houston Texans), Kaylon “Poona” Ford (Los Angeles Chargers), Dane Jackson (Carolina Panthers) and Shaq Lawson.


Especially when one includes names from the past on the defensive line such as Kyle Williams, Marcel Dareus, Jerry Hughes, Mario Addison, Star Lotulelei, Quinton Jefferson, Carlos “Boogie” Basham, Trent Murphy, Vernon Butler, Justin Zimmer, Efe Obada, Harrison Phillips, Dawuane Smoot, Austin Johnson and Casey Toohill, that’s a lot of turnover during the last eight years. The answer, according to McDermott, general manager Brandon Beane and defensive coordinator Bobby Babich, is youth and cheap veterans to provide cost-effective depth (Buffalo made it to the AFC title game with the third-most dead money on the salary cap in the NFL and used just 71 percent of the cap).


Some of those younger players – albeit young veterans since they are in their fifth and sixth professional seasons, respectively – who have been asked to take on a greater role include Greg Rousseau and A.J. Epenesa, who can line up both on the edge and go inside in passing situations. Da’Quan Jones, perhaps their best run-stuffing lineman, is effective on T-T stunts with Ed Oliver (out for Thursday’s game), an excellent gap penetrator.


They are backed up by a familiar face in Jordan Phillips (who is on the practice squad) and second-year men Javon Solomon and DeWayne Carter (Carter is out for the season with a torn Achilles tendon) while rookies Deone Walker, T.J. Sanders and Landon Jackson learn the ropes of the NFL. Ex-Charger Joey Bosa, a five-time Pro Bowler and 10-year pro, will likely get between 10-15 snaps a game in obvious pass rush situations and fill the role that future Hall of Famer Von Miller eventually settled into after a torn ACL 11 games into his first season compromised his play on the field. Additionally, veterans Larry Ogunjobi and Michael Hoecht will provide valuable depth after they return from six-game suspensions (Hoecht is an intelligent and versatile athlete who McDermott and Babich can deploy in multiple ways).


Over the years Buffalo has been inconsistent in two areas – creating a consistent pass rush and, from time to time, stopping the run. The run issues are mainly caused by poor tackling (their missed and broken tackle percentage has been among the highest in the NFL over the years), a lack of gap integrity, inefficient communication and an inability to handle motion (which causes issues with leverage, spacing and run fits). Perhaps the infusion of new faces this season can put those issues to bed once and for all, but in Week One they reared their ugly heads again in the form of Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson rushing for 239 yards on 24 carries – an average of nearly 10 yards per attempt – allowing the Bills to surrender 40 points in a game for the first time since 2021.


Schematically the Bills’ defense mostly relies on basic zones after the snap (they’re usually among the top units in the NFL in usage of coverages with two high safeties such as Cover Two, Four and Six, although they used more single-high man coverages against the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens last year so they could put more bodies in the box to stop the run and to limit communication) but before the snap it is complex. Safety rotations to disguise their intentions keep opposing quarterbacks guessing and selective pressure looks at the line of scrimmage and coverage exchanges are the team’s calling cards.


Those blitz looks usually happen in the A-gaps with the smaller, but smart, speedy and athletic Matt Milano and Terrell Bernard to confuse opposing offensive lines and quarterbacks, but Buffalo rarely sends five or more pass rushers – their favorite blitz tactic besides A-gappers are four-man zone exchanges. In 2024’s regular season they were 27th in blitz rate but Buffalo blitzed Lamar Jackson on 15 out of 31 dropbacks (48.4%) in the playoffs, their fifth-highest blitz rate in a game under McDermott and their highest in a game since Week 15 of 2021, according to Next Gen Stats.


Bernard has become a good blitzer and coverage ‘backer – his 6.5 sacks in 2023 were the most by an off-the-ball linebacker in Bills annals and he became the first NFL player since Seth Joyner in 1991 with six sacks, three picks and three fumble recoveries in a season. He and Milano are also adept at being used to spy quarterbacks – they spied Jackson on every third down in last year’s postseason.


For the second straight year, Milano suffered a major injury – this time a torn bicep – but is now back and presumably healthy (although he’ll miss Thursday’s game with a pec ailment). When he missed time last season, backup Dorian Williams picked up the slack. The Bills struggled to defend the run at times because of a lack of experience by Williams – he displayed flashes of quickness and burst but was slow to key and diagnose at the line of scrimmage. He also took many false steps and needed to process better while in coverage, but is athletic, long and fluid, and has improved with more experience game by game. He had increased playing time in the playoffs to stop Baltimore’s running game, as evidenced by being on the field for a third of Buffalo’s snaps.


Additional depth comes from former Carolina Panther Shaq Thompson and Joe Andreessen. Andreessen, a University at Buffalo product who hails from nearby Lancaster, showed excellent diagnostic skills at the line of scrimmage in the preseason while also displaying strong hands, a quick downhill trigger that allows him to shoot gaps well and some speed and range. It helps that he played in a similar role as Milano while in college.


The Bills mainly utilize nickel personnel, as evidenced by Buffalo using five defensive backs between 90 and 100 percent of their snaps since 2020. When Milano is out with injury, they’ve increased their usage of dime personnel with three safeties to help offset his loss in pass coverage and in the past, that setup featured Poyer near the line of scrimmage, Micah Hyde and ex-Ram Taylor Rapp on the back end.


The Bills’ safety position is now manned by Rapp, who is better playing near the line of scrimmage, the rangy and physical but inconsistent Damar Hamlin and Cole Bishop, who is an underrated and cerebral athlete. Poyer (who recently re-signed with the team following a one-year stint in Miami) is on the practice squad providing veteran depth.


At the boundary cornerback spots are White (also back after a year away to replace Rasul Douglas) and Christian Benford and they are backed up by the tall and physical Ja’Marcus Ingram, Dane Jackson (another experienced face back on the practice squad) and speedy rookies Max Hairston, Dorian Strong and Jordan Hancock. Hairston is currently out with a sprained knee and will miss the first four games. Slot corner Taron Johnson remains elite – especially in in the quickness and tackling departments – and he’s backed up by tweener Cam Lewis, who can also fill in at safety.


2024 saw the Bills end the regular season 11th in points allowed, 12th against the run, 17th in total yards, tied for 18th in sacks and 24th versus the pass. They were also 29th in third down percentage, gave up the most completions, yards and touchdowns in the NFL on screen plays and allowed nine touchdowns on plays of four seconds or longer – the most in the league according to Cover 1’s Eric Turner. However, they were third in takeaways and were fifth-best in allowing plays of 20 yards or more.


Buffalo also held the Broncos to just 42 offensive plays in the wild card round – the least ever for a Bills playoff opponent and the least for any playoff team since 2011.

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 14: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills during the game against the New York Jets on September 14, 2025 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 14: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills during the game against the New York Jets on September 14, 2025 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

BILLS’ UPPER-ECHELON OFFENSE STILL PRODUCTIVE

For five consecutive seasons, the Bills boasted one of the NFL’s elite offenses for the first time since the K-Gun was running roughshod over the league more than 30 years ago. Led by quarterback Josh Allen’s improved processing skills both pre and post-snap, ball placement, patience within the pocket and touch on passes and a cadre of gifted pass-catchers, those factors allowed Buffalo to become one of the most feared attacks in pro football (last year Allen was ninth in passer rating and rushing touchdowns and tied for seventh in passing scores).


In 2023 the Bills were sixth in scoring, fourth in total yards, seventh in rushing and eighth in passing. They were also fifth in red zone efficiency, yet their offense performed poorly over a six-game stretch where they averaged just 20.5 points per game. It resulted in then-offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey getting the boot in favor of quarterbacks coach and former Carolina Panthers play-caller Joe Brady.


Like their defensive counterparts, the Bills went through changes on this side of the ball because of age, the salary cap and a new coordinator. With Brady taking over the role full-time, the biggest philosophical question on offense for Buffalo was how to retain elements of what made them so good in the first place while adding new and fresh concepts.


Between 2018 and ‘23, Buffalo’s offense was an Erhardt-Perkins system brought in from New England by then-coordinator Brian Daboll. It was built upon concepts involving option and crossing routes from the slot, downfield routes from the outside, run-pass options (especially in the red zone), designed quarterback runs to take advantage of Allen’s mobility and alignments that created favorable matchups and some trick plays with jet/orbit motion and sweeps. It was mostly out of “11” personnel groupings (one back, one tight end and three wide receivers) and “10” personnel (one back, no tight ends, four receivers) – and they would also go no-huddle from time to time to limit the opposition’s defensive calls.


The Bills’ multi-receiver sets were traditionally their offensive calling card. In 2020 they used four wide receivers or more 155 times – the second-most in the NFL at the time – and they utilized someone in motion on 43 percent of their offensive snaps, a huge increase from their 25 percent rate in 2019. Daboll, now the head coach of the New York Giants, also called for a passing play on 64 percent of their first downs, according to ESPN Stats and Information (no team with a winning record in the prior 20 years did it more than Buffalo) and that rate continued in 2021 and ’22 with “11” personnel used on nearly three-quarters of their plays.


Daboll’s successor, Ken Dorsey, got away from some of those concepts and tried to rely on the talent at his disposal winning one-on-one matchups instead of having the scheme get them open. Once Brady was promoted, the Bills returned to them. He also included more under-center formations and play-action (which can still stand to increase after being a top-four team in run-fakes in 2020 and ’21), pre-snap shifts, motions and designed passes to running backs and route combinations with defined reads for Allen so he can play within timing and structure.


Brady got his start in the NFL working for the New Orleans Saints and then-coach Sean Payton. Payton himself came from a melting pot of a background including stints running the Erhardt-Perkins scheme for Bill Parcells in Dallas and learning the West Coast offense from Jim Fassel with the New York Giants and from Jon Gruden during their one-year stint together in Philadelphia in 1997, so Brady will bring a similar approach to the table while likely keeping some things the same in Buffalo.


Their biggest transaction on offense last year was trading the aging Stefon Diggs to Houston. Diggs (now in New England), while never a burner on the outside, was an exceptional route runner who specialized in making contested catches and operated well out of bunch and stack formations – leading him to re-write many of the Bills’ single season receiving records.


In addition to Diggs, Buffalo has let veterans like John Brown, Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley, Isaiah McKenzie, Jamison Crowder, Trent Sherfield, Deonte Harty and Amari Cooper walk over the years. Many of them were productive, but nothing can last forever – hence the overhaul of the Bills’ wide receiver room.


The Payton offense is built through having big, physical targets who can get open over the middle of the field, especially on deep in-cuts, or “dig” routes. Payton has employed such players in those roles before like Marques Colston, Jimmy Graham, Michael Thomas and Courtland Sutton, and the drafting of Keon Coleman from Florida State last year fits the bill for Brady. Coleman, whose game evoked comparisons to Colston, Brandon Marshall and Anquan Boldin coming out of college, brings size and physicality to the boundary ‘X’ position with good body control and strong hands to make contested catches and has some run after the catch ability. He does need to work on his speed, quickness and ability to beat press coverage, but in time he may improve in those areas.


While not a burner at the position Coleman is accentuated by speed in the form of Curtis Samuel, a poor-man’s Mecole Hardman who can line up both in the slot and outside the numbers and take handoffs and free agent pickups Josh Palmer and Elijah Moore. Shifty pass-catcher Khalil Shakir mans the slot with his quickness, sure hands and savviness to get open versus zone coverage, Gabriel Davis has returned to the practice squad to supply depth and Tyrell Shavers could prove to be a new weapon after making the team’s active roster out of training camp.


Tight end Dawson Knox is joined by third-year man Dalton Kincaid and their diverse skillsets have allowed the Bills to throw curveballs at opponents with multiple tight end sets. Kincaid lived up to the hype with 73 receptions as a rookie, the most of any first-year Bill and surpassed Pete Metzelaars for the most catches by a Bills tight end in one season. He also became the fourth rookie tight end since 1960 with 70 or more catches in a year.


The Bills’ offensive line is composed of Dion Dawkins, David Edwards, Connor McGovern (taking over at center for the departed Mitch Morse), O’Cyrus Torrence and Spencer Brown. This crew, along with fullback Reggie Gilliam has mainly executed outside zone runs along with zone-reads, pin-and-pull concepts, traps (especially with Dawkins as the puller), counters, sweeps, split inside zone/duo and sprint draw plays sprinkled in for running back James Cook. Cook, who boasts great vision and burst, is backed up by physical second-year man Ray Davis and ex-Jet Ty Johnson brings solid receiving skills to the table.


The starting front five used to be iffy in providing push in the running game and in pass protection but has become a strength in recent years. In the past, most of the team’s rushing production came from Allen’s legs and few came from their backs – the Bills’ rushing attempts per game in 2022, 18.2, was last in the NFL but that number jumped to the highest in the NFL after Brady was promoted. In 2023 Allen was taken down just 24 times overall in 17 regular season outings, the best mark in pro football, and the team again led the league with just 14 sacks allowed last year (tied for the sixth-least since 2000).


Buffalo has also carried over their trend of using an extra offensive lineman to help in the running game. Now that Edwards has moved into the starting lineup, the sixth guy is currently Alec Anderson, and the Bills had the highest rate of offensive snaps with six linemen on the field – with most of them being called runs, and were near the top of the NFL in yards per carry and yards per play with six linemen on the field (rookie tight end Jackson Hawes, an excellent blocker and the replacement for Quintin Morris, is being used more in this regard with some “13” personnel looks).


Another area the Bills needed to clean up was protecting the ball. They used to be one the league’s sloppiest teams – Allen had 14 interceptions and 13 fumbles in 2022 and he led the NFL with 18 interceptions in ’23. Last year Allen cut down on his interception total significantly with just six – a sign of progress in this regard (Allen became the third signal caller in NFL history to start a season with 10 touchdowns and no picks through his team’s first seven games).


In fact, the Bills tied the league record for fewest turnovers in a season with just eight (with the 2019 Saints). They also became the first team ever with less than 15 sacks allowed and fewer than 15 turnovers in the same season. Buffalo ended the 2024 regular season second in points scored (the highest scoring team in franchise history) and red zone efficiency, 10th in total yards and ninth in rushing and passing and became the first team to ever have 30 passing and 30 rushing touchdowns in one season. They, along with the Chiefs, Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders, were also the top four teams in the NFL on fourth down conversion rate.


Cameron Johnston is the team’s new punter and kicker Tyler Bass is out for the team’s first four games due to a groin injury – meaning 41-year-old former All-Pro Matt Prater will replace him. Prater, who holds the NFL record for most 50-plus yards field goals in a career, is also 24 for 25 in the last two minutes of regulation or in overtime.


Last season McDermott and Brady cost themselves a win against the Texans while trying to throw three successive times within their own three-yard line with less than a minute to go and no timeouts. With Houston having all three of their timeouts, three straight runs would have forced Houston to burn them to get the ball back – meaning they wouldn’t have had one to use to stop the clock to set up a game-winning field goal, which happened.


According to ESPN, the Bills became the only team in the last 45 years to be tied or winning in the last minute of the game, inside their own five-yard line and threw three straight passes.

They also botched three situations against the Rams – declining a penalty midway through the game that likely would have forced L.A. to punt, calling a running play when trying to tie the game late (and wasting a timeout in the process) and having just nine men on the field on the final play when trying to return a punt. They’ll need to learn from these miscues going forward.

EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 14: James Cook #4 runs for a touchdown as Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills reacts during the second quarter in the NFL 2025 game between Buffalo Bills and New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on September 14, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY - SEPTEMBER 14: James Cook #4 runs for a touchdown as Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills reacts during the second quarter in the NFL 2025 game between Buffalo Bills and New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on September 14, 2025 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

12 STATS TO MUSE OVER

· Last year Buffalo tied the franchise record for wins in a season with 13 and are 17-5 all-time at home in postseason play. They won seven games by 20-plus points (a franchise record).

· The Bills have compiled a road winning percentage of .608 (28-18) since 2020. Conversely, Buffalo has the best home record in the NFL in the same length of time – 43-9 including playoffs – and the Bills also have 14 straight home wins, the second-longest streak in team annals behind a 15-game stretch between 1990-91. They went undefeated at home last year for the first time since ’90.

· Buffalo faced eight-man boxes 32 percent of the time, the most in the NFL according to Cover 1’s Erik Turner. It’s a stark contrast to the prior four years in which they went against them 16 percent of the time in 2020 (32nd), 18.6 in ’21 (27th), 20.4 in ’22 (20th) and 19.9 in ’23 (19th).

· Buffalo hasn’t lost the turnover battle in their last 24 games – an NFL record.

· Allen had 40 combined scores for the fifth straight year in 2024 – no other quarterback has done it more than three times (Drew Brees from 2011-13) – allowing him to be named the NFL’s Most Valuable Player by the Associated Press, an honor previously bestowed upon just two other Bills (Thurman Thomas in 1991 and O.J. Simpson in 1973).

· Buffalo’s quarterback is also a threat to become the first signal caller to ever rush for six scores or more in each of his first eight years in the NFL. The only other players to do so are Hall of Fame running backs Jim Brown, Marshall Faulk and LaDanian Tomlinson.

· Buffalo has a 35-16 mark in games against divisional opponents, including playoffs, since 2017 (and 25-6 since 2020, the NFL’s best divisional record in that span).

· Last week Allen moved past Joe Ferguson for second in team annals in wins by a starting quarterback – he currently has 78.

· Including playoffs Allen is 13-2 all-time against Miami and since 2017 the Bills are 15-2 against Miami. The Dolphins haven’t won a game in Buffalo since Christmas Eve 2016.

· A week ago the Bills allowed just 154 yards to the Jets, the least they’ve surrendered in a road game since 12/9/90 at Indianapolis (127). They also didn’t give up a third down conversion, the second time since 1991 that’s happened (also against New York, 0-11 on 11/19/23).

· Cook has a rushing score in each of his last six games, the first Bill to do so since Robb Roddick in 1988. If he scores against Miami, he’ll tie the longest streak in franchise history with Riddick (’88), Simpson (’75) and Cookie Gilchrist (’62).

· Allen can tie the league record (currently held by Cam Newton with 44) for most career games with a passing and rushing touchdown.

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