STONE COLD LOCKS WEEK 15

Stone Cold Locks 

By Bob Gaughan

2025 record 37-33

2024 record 67-44-1

2023 Record 82-71-3

2022 Record 68-41-2

2021 record 62-49

2020 record  52-52-4

2019 Record  62-41-2

2018 Record 72-50-3

Total: 500-380-15=57%

MR. OVER/UNDER: 7-point Teaser Bills/NE Over 42.5/ Houston.Arizona Under 49.5



If I was a Raven’s fan, I’d still be fuming over the call that took away a touchdown last week against Pittsburgh.  Maybe someone can explain this stupid double standard? If a team has the ball on the opponents 1-yard line and the QB takes the snap and extends the ball over the goal line, but then has the ball knocked out of his hands, it’s still a touchdown. However, if a wide receiver catches a pass in the end zone, has control and takes two steps, but then loses the ball, it’s not a touchdown. Is it any wonder that we complain about the officiating? And whatever happened to not calling pass interference, if the ball is so far over or under thrown, that it couldn’t have been caught anyway? The NFL rules committee has some serious work to do.

Last week the O/U odds on the Tennessee/Cleveland game were 34, the lowest O/U of the week. They scored 60 points, the 4^th highest total fpr the week, as 11 of the 14 games went over the total. A favored Washington lost by 31-points to Minnesota. These two games are good examples of how difficult it’s been this year picking winners in the NFL. 105 games have gone over and 102 have gone under. Only 2-teams standout this season against the spread, the Rams and Seattle. Combined they’re 19-7 ATS.

I wanted to go with the Bills this week. After their 23-20 loss to the Patriots in Buffalo, New England has won 8 straight games against opponents with a combined record of 28-76. If it wasn’t for defensive miracles, the Bills would have lost to Baltimore and Cincinnati also. Will Josh Allen fumble or play hero ball if they fall behind? New England is 9-4 ATS. The Bills are 6-7. As a Bill’s fan I want them to win, but just one turnover could determine the outcome. What do I do?  The O/U is 49.5, but it’ll be cold and maybe snow. So let’s do another 7-point teaser parley with the Bills game going over 42.5  along with the Houston/Arizona game going under 49.5. Houston has gone under 10 of its 13-games, and has the best defense in the NFL  Sometimes it’s more fun to cheer for more or less scoring, than try and pick a particular winner.

Man in Stripes: Army / Navy OVER 38.5

THIS IS NOT A TYPO!!! Last week we went against  the Bills wagon that is  December football, we won with the Bengals and the points.. HANG ON TIGHT as we stand in front of the freight train on Saturday in Baltimore for one of the great sporting events on the sports calendar.. Yes, this rivalry game is 2-7-1 to the under L10 and had a 16 game under streak from 2006 to 2021, i truly believe if these were any other teams with the yearly numbers the OU would be in the mid 40s..Lets start w Navy, back is their 2 tier superstar QB,Blake Horvath, he can run it and pass it, they have averaged 34 points a game when he starts.. Overall this year Navy is 10-1,  to having 40 or more points in their games.. Their D not so good, giving up 27 points a game.. Army is giving up 23 points a game , and has found an offense, last 2 averaging 25 points last 2 games..Army throws the ball now than they ever have as well.. This is not your grandfather's Army/ Navy game.. I know, better hold you nose here!!!!!..Weather  looks good.. I see Navy getting to 27 at least , so I think this gets into the 40s.. Just need a couple of big plays here,  maybe even sprinkle pizza money on Army ML..THANK YOU FOR YOUR SERVICE MEN!!!!! Good luck..

Some other stocking stuffers:

Byu/ Washington over 53.5

Bills ML

Det +5.5

Philly -10.5 

NYG -2.5

MONO: Buffalo -1.5 over New England

Tried to exclusively play college games this year. I knew this week was looming, but never thought it’d be after a 4-10 run on Saturdays. Forced to play an NFL game might be just what the doctor ordered. Going with the Bills -1.5 this Sunday at New England. December is here and the Pats control the own destiny. Josh and the Bills are coming off of an emotional comeback win, but have a chance to right a wrong from earlier when they went down to the Pats in Buffalo. The bills have been here before, this is uncharted territory for the Pats. Expect Josh to make a statement and take care of business on the road. The Pats might ultimately win the division, but they’ll have to wait a week to potentially celebrate. Bills -1.5.

Brutal:  Army (+6) @ NAVY 

  We pick this game every year.  We pick Army every year.  I believe we are 8-2 in this game.  Usually we are the favo

rite.  This year we are getting a ton of points ( for an Army-Navy game).  We are taking Army. 

  This is a big game for the seniors this year.  Next stop after graduation is Viet....... Venezuela. 

  Que el espíritu esté con vosotros, valientes jóvenes.

Bob:  Philadelphia -11.5 over Las Vegas

Let’s go with the same philosophy as last week.  We go with the team that was embarrassed last week to bounce back with a better effort.  Last week we gave you Pittsburgh as a six point underdog that won outright.  This week we go with the Eagles that played an error filled game on Monday night vs the Chargers.  A closer look at that game and the only reason they lost was the four turnovers by Jalen Hurts.  The Eagles had more first down and almost 100 more yards of offense than the Chargers.  Hurts had his worst game of the year.  He threw zero TD’s and four picks.  On the year he has now thrown 19 TD’s and 6 Int’s.  That means take out last week and he was 19 TD’s and 2 INT’s going into last week.  Last week was the outlier. The criticism in Philly has been brutal this week.  Hurts bounces back with a much better effort. The Raiders only average 15 points per game. I expect a dominating effort on both sides of the ball for Philly at home.