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Bob Gaughan

Stone Cold Locks – Week 5

Updated: Sep 29, 2023

By Bob Gaughan

2022 Record 12-7-1

2021 record 62-49

2020 record  52-52-4

2019 Record  62-41-2

2018 Record 72-50-3

Total: 260-199-10=57%

Mr. Over/Under:  Teaser 7 point: Dallas +12.5 Dallas Under 50

Although the Falcons have a record of 2 – 2, they’re the only team that’s gone 4 – 0 against the spread, and they should cover this week in Tampa, as the Bucs try to recovery from their Monday night loss. By the way, did anyone notice that the O/U for the Seattle/ Detroit game last week was 48 and Seattle scored 48 by themselves?  Many of the betting websites offer a bonus for a same game parley bet, so let’s do one. The Rams have gone over once this year and Cowboys have yet to go over. Both teams have good defenses. The Rams have a shorter week, having played Monday night. The Cowboys have covered the last 3-weeks while the Rams have covered only once this year. I like the under and Dallas getting 5.5, but let’s make it a 7 point teaser parley. Dallas under 50 and Dallas getting 12.5 points.

Man in Stripes: Teaser 6 point- Titans +4.5 over Commanders and Cowboys +11.5 over Rams

Washington is a hot mess on and off the field. Carson Wentz, well good luck to him. This is a Mike Vrabel game where they run, run and run some more against a depleted front 7 for Commanders. Titan will win but I’ll take the points just in case.

As for the Cowboys two words Cooper rush. Rush is only the fourth QB all-time to start 4-0 SU and ATS. Both teams have issues but the Cowboys can rush the passer and we saw on Monday the Rams OL is a mess. I’ll tease to get through the key numbers of 6,7, and 10. The Rams might find a way to win but not cover this number.

Baseball: Rays in 3, Jays in 3, Philly in 3, Mets in 2

Mono: Chargers -2.5 over Browns

Justin Herbert and company will look to stack another win on a trip to Cleveland. The Chargers are coming off a 34-point performance last week where they finally let Austin Ekeler touch the ball.  Now the Chargers run into a beat up Browns team. Although they may play Clowney and Myles Garrett are Not 100 percent. The last thing you want to do is give Herbert extra time. Brissett will not be able to keep up and the Chargers leave with a win.

Brutal: UCLA +4.5 Over Utah

This is Chip Kelly’s best team since he has been at Westwood. UCLA has been running the ball very well and controlling the games so far. Obviously this is the biggest test vs the Utes. Utah has been relying on turning the ball over to win games.  I see a game where UCLA hangs onto the ball and wins game outright.  Bruins I believe actually have more talent than Utah. Utah has USC on deck and might be looking past the Briuns.

Bob:  Bills -14 over Steelers

I remember last year when the Bills were favorites and the Steelers came in and handed the Bills a loss in Week 1.  That team had TJ Watt and Melvin Ingram on the defensive line.  Watt is injured and Ingram is with the Dolphins. This is a bad match-up for Pittsburgh.  The Steelers offensive line has been awful this year.  They have had little running game in spite of having Najee Harris. Harris only has averaged 51 yards a game this year. You have a rookie quarterback making his first road start with little running game and bad match-up on his offensive line.  I still believe in betting against rookie QB’s making their first road start against good defenses. This spells trouble.  This game has 40-14 written all over it.

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